Another dumb political PR mistake

April 20th, 2011

The Prosser campaign is making a mistake when it calls a possible recount in the WIsconsin Supreme Court election “frivolous”.

A recount would probably be expensive, generic viagra buy cialis wasteful and futile, treat but getting elections right is never “frivolous” and saying so makes you look like you’re afraid of how a recount might turn out.

Entry Filed under: Observations

4 Comments Add your own

  • 1. steveegg  |  April 20th, 2011 at 7:13 pm

    Point of order – it’s what will be coming after the recount that Prosser is afraid of. The recount itself won’t move the margin by even 500 in either direction, and indeed to a statistician, it would further cement the legitimacy of Prosser’s win.

    Unfortunately, judges, especially liberal reserve ones, tend to not be statisicians.

  • 2. John Foust  |  April 21st, 2011 at 9:19 am

    Steve, you’re hilarious. I was about to ask you if you were a statistician who understand error bars and what such slim margins might portend for our democracy, but then I noticed you didn’t spell it correctly.

  • 3. steveegg  |  April 21st, 2011 at 1:19 pm

    Foust, what was the last statewide recount, or recount involving at least 1 million votes, that, even with post-recount activities, changed the margin by more than 0.2 percentage points? Hint – it would be sometime before 1980, when a 206,000-vote election for Senate in Vermont saw a 0.152 percentage point shift.

    One more thing – the largest recount pick-up in a recent election that had at least 90% of the votes the Wisconsin Supreme Court election did was 0.073 percentage points (2000 Colorado Board of Education).

    Even the only path that appears to be open to Kloppenburg, a no-legal-basis post-recount judicial nullification of entire municipalities or counties, is a dead end once it gets into federal court.

  • 4. John Foust  |  April 21st, 2011 at 7:59 pm

    So why does our law allow a freebie recount if it is within 0.5%? You think it should be changed to 0.2%?

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